Monday, December 2, 2013

MLB HOF

Who will be in the Hall of Fame for the MLB this year? Let's take a look at the ballot.
Moises Alou (1st yr)
Jeff Bagwell (4th yr)
Armando Benitez (1st yr)
Craig Biggio (2nd yr)
Barry Bonds (2nd yr)
Sean Casey (1st yr)
Roger Clemens (2nd yr)
Ray Durham (1st yr)
Eric Gagne (1st yr)
Luis Gonzalez (1st yr)
Tom Glavine (1st yr)
Jacque Jones (1st yr)
Todd Jones (1st yr)
Jeff Kent (1st yr)
Paul Lo Duca (1st yr)
Greg Maddux (1st yr)
Don Mattingly (14th yr)
Fred McGriff (5th yr)
Mark Mcgwire (8th yr)
Jack Morris (15th yr)
Mike Mussina (1st yr)
Hideo Nomo (8th yr)
Rafael Palmeiro (4th yr)
Mike Piazza (2nd yr)
Tim Raines (7th yr)
Kenny Rogers (1st yr)
Curt Schilling (2nd yr)
Richie Sexson (1st yr)
Lee Smith (12th yr)
J.T. Snow (1st yr)
Sammy Sosa (2nd yr)
Frank Thomas (1st yr)
Mike Timlin (1st yr)
Allan Trammell (13th yr)
Larry Walker (4th yr)

First things first. Last season, the HOF voters showed they want no part of people who have done steroids in the Hall of Fame. That very quickly eliminates seven names, unless the voters change their minds this year. I do think some PED users will be in the Hall eventually, but I don't think this is the year. The names we can remove from the ballot then are: Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Jeff Bagwell, Mike Piazza, Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa, and Rafael Palmeiro.

Which then makes the ballot look like this.
Moises Alou (1st yr)
Armando Benitez (1st yr)
Craig Biggio (2nd yr)
Sean Casey (1st yr)
Ray Durham (1st yr)
Eric Gagne (1st yr)
Luis Gonzalez (1st yr)
Tom Glavine (1st yr)
Jacque Jones (1st yr)
Todd Jones (1st yr)
Jeff Kent (1st yr)
Paul Lo Duca (1st yr)
Greg Maddux (1st yr)
Don Mattingly (14th yr)
Fred McGriff (5th yr))
Jack Morris (15th yr)
Mike Mussina (1st yr)
Hideo Nomo (8th yr)
Tim Raines (7th yr)
Kenny Rogers (1st yr)
Curt Schilling (2nd yr)
Richie Sexson (1st yr)
Lee Smith (12th yr)
J.T. Snow (1st yr)
Frank Thomas (1st yr)
Mike Timlin (1st yr)
Allan Trammell (13th yr)
Larry Walker (4th yr)

There are then a bunch of names we can also quickly eliminate for not having the numbers. Don't get me wrong, these guys all had great careers and put up really good numbers, but the MLB HOF is extremely difficult to get into, and in a lot of cases really good numbers isn't enough. The players I removed as I said all had really good numbers, but there's a lot of guys who put up numbers similar to that, you need something really special to be in the hall.

This is what the ballot looks like once those names are removed
Craig Biggio (2nd yr)
Luis Gonzalez (1st yr)
Tom Glavine (1st yr)
Jeff Kent (1st yr)
Greg Maddux (1st yr)
Don Mattingly (14th yr)
Fred McGriff (5th yr)
Jack Morris (15th yr)
Mike Mussina (1st yr)
Tim Raines (7th yr)
Curt Schilling (2nd yr)
Lee Smith (12th yr)
Frank Thomas (1st yr)
Mike Timlin (1st yr)
Allan Trammell (13th yr)

These are all guys who have the numbers to get into the HOF, however each voter is only allowed ten votes; so I'm going to take off five names and give who my ten guys are.
Craig Biggio (2nd yr)
Luis Gonzalez (1st yr)
Tom Glavine (1st yr)
Jeff Kent (1st yr)
Greg Maddux (1st yr)
Fred McGriff (5th yr)
Tim Raines (7th yr)
Curt Schilling (2nd yr)
Frank Thomas (1st yr)
Allan Trammell (13th yr)

The names I eliminated, I would expect some of them will make it eventually, but I don't think this is the year.
This is who my ten votes would be for, but of course other voters might vote for other people, and some will vote for the PED users I eliminated right away, taking away votes from these ten. I will now narrow this down to what I think will be the MLB Hall of Fame class of 2014.
Craig Biggio
Tom Glavine
Greg Maddux
Curt Schilling
Frank Thomas

Think I'm wrong? Think you can do better? Tell me what you think the Hall of Fame class will look like.

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