With MLB Spring Training underway it is time for season's predictions.With the parity in the league increasing every year this is getting constantly getting harder to do. However, I'll give it my best shot.
A.L. East
1. Baltimore Orioles 92-70
2. Toronto Blue Jays 90-72
3. Boston Red Sox 83-79
4. Tampa Bay Rays 73-89
5. New York Yankees 70-92
The last couple years this division has been the most wide open I have seen it in a long time, and this year is no exception. To me the Orioles are the strongest team, but the Jays look to be close competitors. I put the Orioles ahead of them though because they have a proven and more complete starting rotation, where as the Jays is young and somewhat questionable. The Jays also did not get the bullpen player they needed so badly. However, despite this the Blue Jays look the strongest they have in a long time. Despite being somewhat questionable the rotation looks fairly solid, and the offense is potent. The only question mark is the bull pen. This Jays team should be competing for a wild card spot and potentially the division. The Red Sox added some pieces which should keep them hanging around most of the season. They will definitely be better than last season, however, are they good enough to get back to the post season? I don't believe so. They have too many streaky players. If players like Boegarts and Bucholz show up, watch out for the Sox. However, if these (and their other role players) slump for any reason, it's going to be a long season in Boston. I believe they're good enough to be above .500, especially with the addition of Pablo Sandoval, but I'm not sure if they're much better than that. The Rays are a team who's best days with this squad are behind them. They have good pieces like Longoria, Cobb, and Moore, however, other than a few pieces there isn't much there. Finally the New York Yankees, you can almost never count out the Yankees, but this year it seems a pretty safe bet to do so. They're full of aging stars who's best days are behind them, and I doubt A-Rod is leading them anywhere anymore. They have a few bright spots, but a few bright spots is about it.
A.L. Central
1. Detroit Tigers 85-77
2. Kansas City Royals 83-78
3. Chicago White Sox 82-80
4. Cleveland Indians 78-84
5. Minnesota Twins 59-103
The Tigers aren't the power houses they once were. Yes they still have Cabrera, and yes their core of infielders is still together. However, everyone's getting older and their pitching rotation isn't what it once was. Their bullpen does look good. I'd look for Detroit to win the divsion this year, but don't have expectations of them running away with it, despite the fact that it's a weak divison. Detroit has taken a few steps back and look to be declining from their power house days. Kansas City lost Shields, and look like they may be taking a step back this year. I don't think they'll be terrible, but don't expect another magical run either. The Chicago White Sox did a lot of good things in the off season, but to me it isn't a complete team yet. They will be vastly improved and also in a playoff hunt, however, with this roster they aren't there yet. Maybe if they make an early or mid season trade they can push themselves there. The Indians are no longer a power squad either. They have pieces to keep themselves afloat, however they're aging, and not much on this roster really pops out at you. The Twins are pretty much an after thought, there really isn't much there and will likely be another dismal season.
A.L. West
1. LA Angels 102-62
2. Seattle Mariners 91-71
3. Oakland Athletics 82-80
4. Texas Rangers 81-81
5. Houston Astros 77-85
Whoo! This is the strongest division so far. The Angels look like they could be Championship ready behind Mike Trout, this is a very strong team, look for them to go deep this year. The Mariners made big strides signing Robinson Cano last year. To me, this team looks good enough to be playoff bound. Nobody really knows what Billy Beane is up to. He traded Donaldson to the Jays and shipped out some other major talent. They still look good enough to be decent, but decent won't get you very far in this league. The Rangers have to improve after last year don't they? I think they have too good of a roster to be that bad again. I'd look for them to be around .500, but in this strong division their time may have passed. The Astros are steadily on an up swing, they aren't playoff bound yet, but they won't be the laughing stock and punching bag of the league anymore either, I'd look for them to creep up on the .500 mark.
This brings us to the A.L. side of the playoffs. Here's how the seeding turns out.
1. LA Angels
2. Baltimore Orioles
3. Detroit Tigers
4. Seattle Mariners
5. Toronto Blue Jays
Wild card game Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners
First up we got the wild card game, which would feature the Toronto Blue Jays at the Seattle Mariners. Neither team has a ton of playoff experience, however, I believe the additions of Russel Martin, and Josh Donaldson would go a long ways in preparing the team for what it needs, however, the Mariners do have Cano, who knows a thing or two as well. The Jays would likely have to face Felix Hernandez, which could be tough, however, pitchers who haven't been into the playoffs very much, if at all can sometimes struggle. I'm going to give the one game playoff to the Blue Jays, as I think they're ready to move into the playoffs and make a little noise.
ALDS: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Notice how I said the Jays are ready to make a "little noise?" Yeah, this season it will likely only be restrained to a little. I do think this would be a close series, however, I'm going to have to go with Angels in five here. I think they're more prepared, and the better team.
ALDS: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Can the Tigers find a way to win in the post season? I don't think so. After getting a taste of the post season last year the Orioles are going to be hungry to get back and go deep. Orioles got a taste and have an idea now of what it takes. Orioles take this series in four.
ALCS: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels
Man this would be a really good series. However, I believe the Angels are deeper and better than the Orioles. To me this looks like a special year for the Angels. I'll take the Angels in six here.
Now on to the National League to find out who gets to dance with the Angels in the World Series.
N.L. East
Washington Nationals 102-60
Miami Marlins 83-79
Atlanta Braves 78-84
New York Mets 74-88
Philadelphia Phillies 68-94
The Washington Nationals look good, they have what looks to be the best rotation in baseball and could be competing to be the best team in baseball. The Marlins look pretty good as well. They have some good young talent and will likely get Jose Fernandez back mid-season which would be a huge boost to the lineup. I think they fall just short of the playoffs this year, but they will definitely be in the hunt. The Braves aren't the power house they once were, they have a few bright spots, but I don't see much from them. The Mets have one of the top farm systems in the league. However, this talent has yet to develop, and for right now they aren't going to be very good. The Phillies need to start over, build a farm system and build for the future. There really isn't much in Philly right now and there isn't much to look forward to this year.
N.L. Central
St. Louis Cardinals 91-71
Pittsburgh Pirates 86-76
Chicago Cubs 82-80
Milwaukee Brewers- 74-88
Cincinnati Reds- 70- 92
The Cardinals are going to be the Cardinals and continue their top play and once again take the division. The Pirates are essentially the same team that's made the playoffs the last couple years, however, they lost Russel Martin. They're going to be good and right in the playoff race, but I think they're just going to miss out. The Cubs had a really good off season and made some vast improvements. They'll have an outside chance at the playoffs, but I don't think they're quite there yet. The Brewers are interesting, they have the pieces to potentially be really good, but they could also flop. I don't see them doing it. I think they're a couple pieces away yet. The Reds are also a team with potential, however, other than a couple seasons they really haven't done much, they have a decent roster that might be capable of being good, but it just hasn't happened. These are my predictions for this division, but it could be wild, any of these teams have a roster potentially capable of jumping around.
N.L. West
LA Dodgers 93-69
San Francisco Giants 90-72
San Diego Padres- 88-74
Colorado Rockies- 64-98
Arizona Diamond Backs- 59-103
The top three of this division will competitive. The bottom two not so much. The Dodgers look good again and ready to take the division. Despite losing Sandoval the Giants are still going to be competitive. With the off-season they had I think San Diego is ready for a playoff race. And just like that three teams in a division make the playoffs. The final spot will be a tight race between them and the Pirates and I think they just edge out the Pirates, however it could go either way. Neither the Rockies or the Diamond Backs look good. Both will likely be in the running for worst record in baseball.
Now for the N.L. Playoffs here's how the seeding shakes out.
1. Washington Nationals
2. LA Dodgers
3. St. Louis Cardinals
4. San Francisco Giants
5. San Diego Padres
Wild Card Game: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants
The Padres are finally good enough to get to the playoffs, even if it just is the wild card game. Unfortunately for them, this is as far as they get. The Giants are too deep and too good to lose out as a wild card.
NLDS: St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers
The Dodgers haven't shown much at being a playoff team in the past. If Kershaw can find his way they would be really good. However, a historic non-playoff team plays what's historically a very good playoff team in St. Louis, I have to take the playoff team. Cardinals advance in 4.
NLDS: San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
The Nationals do have guys who have been to the playoffs before and they have made it as a team as well. However, the Giants have made it very hard to bet against them in the post season. This one is almost too close to call, however, I believe the Nationals can pull it off, they don't strike me as a team that will be continually failing in the playoffs, I think they have what it takes and I think they win in 5.
NLCS: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
A lot of times the hot team wins. To take out the Giants the Nationals would likely be coming into this series hot. I think with everything they have and the run they will be putting together at this point will be hard to overcome for St. Louis. I really like the Nationals this year. I think they win in six.
World Series: Washington Nationals vs. LA Angels
What a titanic matchup this would be. Both teams with prolific offenses and dynamic pitching staffs. I think pitching staff is what this series will come down to. I give the Nationals the edge in that regard and I think they win. Nationals win the World Series in seven.
-Darren
-What do you think of my predictions for the MLB season? Let me know by either commenting below or find me on twitter @thewildman111
photo taken from sportsconflict.org